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« Moteur d'un changement d'époque ? La France et l'Allemagne dans une Europe en mutation »
Le 10ème Forum de Genshagen pour le dialogue franco-allemand s’est tenu les 26 et 27 septembre 2022 au Château de Genshagen, sur le thème « Moteur d'un changement d'époque ? La France et l'Allemagne dans une Europe en mutation ». Pour trouverez plus d’informations, cliquez ici.
Dans le cadre de cette conférence deux papiers de conclusion ont été redigés (en anglais):
1. A Geopolitical Caesura: Rethinking the Future of European Security Ronja Kempin, Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik
Europe is experiencing its third geopolitical caesura in the space of less than ten years: in 2014, Russia violated international law and shook the very foundations of the Charter of Paris when it annexed Crimea. Two years later, in 2016, Donald Trump moved into the White House. With unprecedented candour, he called into question the Euro-Atlantic security partnership based on solidarity. He attached the condition of »fair burden sharing« to the reliability of security policy on the part of the US vis-à-vis Europe. A few months later, at the end of June 2016, a majority of UK citizens voted to take Europe’s largest military power out of the European Union (EU). Since 24 February 2022, a war has been raging in Europe – one that Russia is waging against Ukraine. Since then, there has been no doubt in Europe about Moscow’s obvious revisionism. It quickly became clear to the EU Member States that they would have to change their view of their own defence policy. But how can the EU27 manage to improve their military capabilities in a coordinated manner? The recent discord between Berlin and Paris over the Future Combat Air System (FCAS) project, which was launched in 2017, has shown how difficult it continues to be, even for close partners, to share sensitive military data. And what other foreign and security policy instruments must the EU now strengthen in order to restore and guarantee security in Europe on a permanent basis? Germany and France should try to better meet the expectations of their EU partners in Eastern and Central Europe, above all Poland. Russia’s war against Ukraine could pose an opportunity for the Weimar Triangle countries to revive their cooperation.
2. Europe’s Economic Winter: Putting Unity to the Test Eulalia Rubio, Jacques Delors Institute
After the Covid crisis, the war in Ukraine and the unfolding energy crisis are puttingthe economy of the European Union (EU) in serious difficulty once again. With high inflation rates, gas supply disruptions and the expectation that the European Central Bank (ECB) is set to further increase interest rates, the risk of Europe falling into recession is real. Against this backdrop, the most immediate challenge is to tackle the energy crisis. There will, however, be other important items on the EU’s winter economic agenda. Chief among these is the reform of the EU’s fiscal rules. The fiscal consequences of the energy crisis are immense and will take their toll on Member States’ finances. It is essential to reassure the markets with credible yet realistic engagement in the area of debt sustainability. At the same time, the Union is confronted with demands for extra EU spending stemming from the war and the energy crisis that cannot be neglected. All of these issues will put the EU’s unity to the test. They will require Member States – and, above all, France and Germany – to overcome their divisions and work together to build political compromises.
